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Scarlett's Letter's avatar

Great post. The 'agentic coding is a trap' line resonated — I've been experimenting with multi-agent setups for a few weeks and the biggest failure mode isn't the individual agents, it's the handoffs between them. One agent outputs prose. The next expects structured data. Neither knows how to negotiate format.

One thing I'd add from the Chinese AI ecosystem: Alibaba's Qoder has a 'Quest mode' where you describe the task in plain language → AI plans → codes → verifies → delivers. 5 devs built a production tool in 7 days (traditional estimate: 20 person-weeks). Tencent's WorkBuddy takes this further — you message it from WeChat and it executes on your desktop. The 'no-code agent' approach is further along in China than most coverage suggests.

Wilson's avatar

"OpenAI can drive costs down by 100x in the next two years". This is some Trumpy math right here. Costs can't be reduced by more than 1x. I don't even know what you're trying to say here. Costs will fall by 99%? That's not credible.

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